November 2009 Ends Wet & White

Posted by Tim Kelley November 30, 2009 at 8:36 pm

This image from CrownofMaine.com shows the 4.5″ of snowfall from Mars Hill Maine today, November 30, 2009.

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But for most of New England this was another wet & unseasonable warm November Day.
We hit 55^ at NECN (Newton MA) today, with about .2″ Rainfall.
Meteorologists at The National Weather Service Office in Taunton Massachusetts have tallied up some figures regarding our warm November 2009.
Listed below.
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First this announcement:
The Team at WeatherAction.com offered free forecasts for the Climate Meeting coming up in Copenhagen.. here is opening line, then a link to their site.
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“Please Circulate this free forecast to Copenhagen summit delegates and media…
WeatherAction releases free long range forecast for Copenhagen Climate Summit
7th-18th Dec 2009 & warns:
Climate summit to be hit by blustery deluges, probably turning to
snow or blizzards and icy blasts in the region at times – especially
heavy when President Obama visits Denmark & Norway 8-10th.”
see more here.
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Read more

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A Look Ahead to Cooler Times

Posted by Joe Joyce November 28, 2009 at 10:49 am

Plenty of Sunshine with less wind today will make this Sunday the Pick of the weekend. Highs will average above normal climbing into the lwr to mid 50’s in southern New England. Considering we should be in the mid 40’s this time of year, for the end of November we are doing great! Cooler air remains in place across the far north today with a few more clouds and highs only in the 30’s and lwr 40’s. It has been a great run this month. But the writing is on the wall and the inevitable cool down is on the way starting this week.

Monday we will be tracking a cold front across New England. This will come with a few showers mostly west in the morning, with steady showers at the coast for the afternoon. The mild flow ahead of the front will keep temps in the 50’s right at the coast…especially Southeast. Winds will pick up a bit too in the afternoon. The front will be off the coast by Monday night and a seasonably cool airmass will charge in for Tuesday. Highs will only be in the 30’s north and lwr-mid 40’s south, nothing too cool for this time of year….but it will seem very chilly after this very mild month…which has averaged 2-3 degrees above normal. Dry weather will remain in place through Wednesday, with our focus turning to the Gulf.

This next weather maker will be loaded with moisture. This wave of energy, which has origins in the Pacific, will tap Gulf of mexico Moisture and become a strengthening Low as it moves up the East coast and should track right through New England. This will come with some warm, tropical air…so I am expecting mostly rain to develop Wednesday Night into Thursday. Rain will be heavy at times with a few inches of rain possible. It will also be a quick moving system and the jetstream will help to keep this moving along. Behind this low will be cooler dry air to follow as pressure will rise behind this storm and allow a dry and cool 1st weekend of December.

Looking West, Arctic air will be plunging into the US this week and will start to become a major player in our December pattern for the weeks ahead. Winter is knock knock knockin’ on our door! Any winterizing of the home left to do should be done this week if you have been procrastinating in the mild November weather.

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Raindrops Keep Falling On Our Head…on the Weekend

Posted by Joe Joyce October 24, 2009 at 8:33 am

Caribou 2nd snow 3 day Oct 24 09 12 z
This image from the CrownOfMaine.com cam from 9 AM shows the fourth snow in nine days here in New England. The snow and ice have changed to rain now, as much warmer winds move in.
Scattered showers with periodic downpours will be in place for most of the day, especially in central and Northern New England. The rainfall will be more spotty in nature south…with spotty light rain and drizzle…with extended periods of dry weather, especially by afternoon. So not all is lost today…but obviously not ideal weather to start the weekend. A warm front is pushing northward today. It will take much of the day to finally push through southern New England, but once it is throughn winds will pick up from the SSE direction and a rise in temperatures will be underway. By late afternoon, highs will be climbing into the mid 60’s in southern New England. It will be a balmy, mild, almost tropical airmass in place through the evening. Northern New England will remain on the cooler and more unsettled side of the front. Periodic downpours through the day expected. Rain will be heavy at times. Northern New England will see upto 2-3 inches of rain before this all ends Sunday Morning.

A cold front will be on the move Saturday night. This will be a strong energized front with plenty of lift in the atmosphere to squeeze out any available tropical moisture. Strong winds aloft may mix down to the surface ahead of this front and may produce damaging winds with gusts over 40+ mph for the Cape and the Islands and Down east Maine tonight. The main bulk of rain will be pushing through as a squall line after 7 PM tonight. The line will be reaching the coast around 10-11 PM. This line of downpours will likley come with torrential rain, gusty winds and embedded thunder. It will all be off the coast by sunrise tomorrow. Generally 1-1.5″ of rain expected in southern New England

Skies will be clearing Sunday with breezy NW winds. Highs will be seasonal in the 50’s and lwr 60’s.
Building high pressure will allow for a dry and pleasant start to the week, before our next chance of showers by Tuesday.
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Cold Cumulus and Mild Weekend Rains

Posted by Joe Joyce October 1, 2009 at 12:17 pm

SAT_STATENH_VIS

We are still under the influence of an upper level low pressure system, which is currently over the Canadian border. Counter-clockwise rotation of air around the low is supplying the chill down at the ground, but also up above where it is much colder. The sun has heated the surface already this morning, and the cumulus have begun their vertical ascent. A partly to mostly cloudy appearance to the sky this afternoon with temperatures running below normal mostly in the 50’s. A stray shower or sprinkle can not be ruled out in the NW hills. Skies will be clearing overnight as our upper low starts to pull away and pressure on the rise. Another cool night with lows dipping into the 30’s and 40’s. High pressure on the move for Friday will mean more abundant sunshine. As the high pulls off the coast, winds will shift to the south allowing for slightly warmer temperatures Friday. The cold heavy at the air will not be in a hurry to leave, so the lighter warmer air will override the cooler air forming clouds along a warm front. Showers will develop on this warm front Friday night and push into western New England late.

This weekend we will be tracking an energized slow moving cold front. Saturday will start out showery, cloudy and damp. SSE winds will try to bring in warmer air into the 60’s. Any wind off the water this time of year can make it feel raw, but inland temps will try to get to 70. Showers will transition to pockets of heavy rain by later in the afternoon as a wave of low pressure gathers on the cold front. Tropical moisture will be heading up the coast which could enhance the rainfall. The heavy rains will continue through Saturday Night and Early Sunday morning. In some of these downpours easily 1-3″ of rain could occur if everything comes together. That is the catch! Just how strong and how fast is this front going to be?
If this front is more progressive, we have a shot at lighter amounts of rain and also a improved Sunday forecast to look forward to. If the cold front slows more with this developing wave along it, well…Houston we have a problem. This will mean a heavier rain, localized flooding and rain lingering through the morning on Sunday. Right now, we will play optimistic with the weekend and call for slow improvement Sunday with a damp start and breaking PM clouds. High pressure builds in for the start of next week for a couple days of sunshine before another batch of rain is here by midweek.

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Here Comes The Rain Again

Posted by Joe Joyce September 26, 2009 at 6:41 pm

ambient-umbrella

Our beautiful crisp start to the weekend is a forgotten memory. Clouds are here to stay with rain heading into New England for Sunday. After a warmer than normal start to the week, the fall chill returns for the midweek…this time with lots of clouds. Full weather discussion inside! Read more

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The “Fall-Feel” Returns

Posted by Joe Joyce September 23, 2009 at 9:00 pm

scenery_fall
Above normal temperatures Wednesday are on the way out as we head towards the weekend. In fact, a noticeable chill will be in the air on Friday with highs struggling to climb into the 60’s. The weekend starts off fantastic with sunshine and 60’s, but rain will likely develop by Sunday. Full forecast discussion inside Read more

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Sunshine Galore for Last Weekend of Summer

Posted by Joe Joyce September 19, 2009 at 7:45 am

sunshine

Building High Pressure north of New England is providing a breezy, cool crisp Canadian Airmass for the weekend. Skies will be filled with sunshine, but early mornings may come with some frost..especially in the northwestern valleys! Sunshine and more seasonal weather returns for the start of next week. Temperatures will even average above normal just in time for the Autumnal Equinox! Full Forecast discussion inside! Read more

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Clouds are Moving Out…But For How Long?

Posted by Joe Joyce September 12, 2009 at 8:15 am

202251122_tEMwn-M

A Damp and cloudy start to Sunday will give way to increasing afternoon sunshine and a string of pleasant days to start the work week. A developing low is getting it’s act together in the Gulf of Mexico. Will this increased moisture become a player in our weather before the week is through? Full Forecast Discussion Inside! Read more

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