What? No Tues-Thurs Snow?
Posted by Tim Kelley March 8, 2010 (2 days ago) at 9:04 pm
We reached 60° in New England today, the nicest weather since November 19-21, 2009.
And now, for the first time since January 12-14, 2010, we are not forecasting snow or rain in New England on a Tuesday, Wednesday, or Thursday. Oh What a Relief! Because many of the 7 mid-week storm forecasts have busted in one way or another. We shall relish the quiet… and retool for more fun beginning this weekend and beyond. The most interesting feature on the weather map today is the same thing as yesterday and the day before and the day before. The FOG over the Northern Plains. The fog shows up on the Visible Satellite Map.. seemingly every day. Here is the view this afternoon, Monday March 8, 2010.
That storm in Texas is a slow mover. The rain will arrive Friday, and may take the weekend to get by. Wind will increase from the east and southeast, perhaps to Gale Force by Saturday. Don;t cancel your weekend plan, but prepare for a rain delay, forecasts change all the time (for example, last Wednesday, I thought we would snow this Wednesday).
For more on the interesting Fog and Cold in North Dakota, see the Public Information Statements below. Why so much Fog? Submit possible explanation in comment section, also feel free to rib forecasters.
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One Storm at a Time
Posted by Tim Kelley February 22, 2010 (3 weeks ago) at 7:26 pm
An upper low is heading in and cutting off over New England for the rest of February 2010. A series of surface low pressure systems will circulate into this upper low through Friday, then the upper low will spin out over us Saturday and Sunday. Joe, Matt, and Danielle have discussed this in great detail already. So I will try and get the rain and snow forecasts using this graphic. For tonight, Monday February 22, we will estimate how much snow and rain will fall with the first storm Tuesday and Wednesday.
The Tuesday rain and snow are really from two low pressure centers, a 1008 millibars primary low into Ontario stalls, and secondary off New Jersey will deepen to 1004 mb. and dissipate as the center moves into Connecticut Wednesday. We all know this scenario favors rain over snow, especially with no cold out in front.
Not a blockbuster storm, but a messy Tuesday in progress nonetheless
Posted by Danielle Niles February 16, 2010 (4 weeks ago) at 6:42 am
With light snow already falling up to southern New Hampshire at this early morning hour, roads will become slick at times through the AM commute as a slug of moisture continues to spread from south to north across the region. After this initial batch of snow, there may be a bit of a lull before the next burst moves into New England later this afternoon in association with energy at the upper levels of our atmosphere. A rain/snow line will set up across southeastern New England (the snow has already changed to rain on Nantucket as of 5:00 AM) and will move north, reaching the South Shore of MA this afternoon, keeping total accumulations either side of 2″ in these areas. We’ve made little change to the accumulation map and are still expecting a general 6″-8″+ in northeast MA, southwest NH. This will be a sloppy and heavy snow with temperatures hovering either side of the freezing mark through the day. Northern New England will see lesser amounts, a general 3″-6″ in most spots, with little if any snow in the North Country. To see the accumulation map in its entirety, CLICK HERE and watch Matt’s latest forecast. Read more
Series of Atlantic Super Storms
Posted by Tim Kelley February 2, 2010 at 9:51 pm
From The Pacific Ocean, across North America, into The Atlantic Ocean, a series of storms with immense power are forecast for February. The Tuesday February 2, 2010 00 GMT weather model run of the NAM forecast Low Pressure deepening to 944 millibars southeast of Newfoundland by Friday February 5th. Currently that Storm is flaking 6″+ snow on Virginia, the second plowable snow on The Mid-Atlantic States in 4 days. The central pressure is now 1006 millibars, just east of Hatteras NC. ‘Bombogenesis’ is forecast for the next 24 hours.
As I watched these ships headed into the open sea today, I had to wonder if the super storms forecast in the North Atlantic were on the minds of the captain. The lowest pressure of Hurricane Bob in 1991 was 950 millibars.
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Blizzard 2009 Encore in Maine- Dec 21, 2009
Posted by Tim Kelley December 21, 2009 at 9:10 pm
Breaking news Tuesday evening December 22, 2009.
From Severe Storm Center, a rather rare meso discussion on heavy snow in Maine.
MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2264
NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK
0613 PM CST TUE DEC 22 2009
AREAS AFFECTED…NRN ME
CONCERNING…HEAVY SNOW
VALID 230013Z – 230545Z
MODERATE TO LOCALLY HEAVY SNOW WILL PERSIST THIS EVENING THROUGH THE
OVERNIGHT WITHIN A QUASI-STATIONARY NW TO SE-ORIENTED BAND. SNOWFALL
RATES WITHIN THE BAND SHOULD REACH 1 IN/HR AT TIMES.
RECENT RADAR IMAGERY HAS DEPICTED SNOW IN AN INCREASINGLY
BANDED/CONTRACTED STRUCTURE FROM COASTAL WASHINGTON COUNTY NWWD INTO
NRN PISCATAQUIS COUNTY. MODERATE TO HEAVY SNOW HAD LIKELY COMMENCED
WITHIN THIS BAND /REF KMLT 2309Z METAR ON FAR WRN EDGE OF BAND/.
AFTERNOON MODEL FORECASTS ARE CONSISTENT THAT THE VIGOROUS SHORT
WAVE TROUGH OVER WRN NEW ENGLAND WILL ONLY SLOWLY SHIFT
EWD…RESULTING IN SUBSTANTIAL 900-700 MB FRONTOGENETICAL FORCING
REMAINING NEARLY STATIONARY THROUGH EARLY WED. THIS WILL LIKELY LEAD
TO SUSTAINED PERSISTENCE OF THE BAND WELL INTO THE OVERNIGHT…WITH
SOME OSCILLATORY DRIFT WHICH IS SUPPORTED BY HI-RES WRF REFLECTIVITY
GUIDANCE. THE FRONTOGENETIC FORCED ASCENT WILL BE JUXTAPOSED WITH A
LARGE DENDRITIC GROWTH LAYER /AOA 100 MB DEPTH/…ESPECIALLY ON THE
SRN PORTION OF THE BAND WHERE THERMODYNAMIC PROFILES WILL REMAIN
COOLER THAN FARTHER N. SNOWFALL RATES AROUND 1 IN/HR SHOULD OCCUR AT
TIMES…AMIDST A LONG DURATION EVENT.
Watch the snow on CrownofMaineCams
See latest snow forecast and totals from National Weather Service in Caribou Maine. Now we are looking at up to 20″ of snow forecast for northern Maine
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December Thaw Ends Today- December 15, 2009
Posted by Tim Kelley December 15, 2009 at 8:32 pm
Not that we have been too cold.. Thursday December 3rd we reached record warmth near 70 degrees in southern New England. Then rain changed to snow on Saturday the 5th. The first freezing temperature of the season at Boston Logan Airport was Sunday the 6th, breaking the record of December 2, 1975 for latest first 32 at Logan. Since then we have seen at least a little snow somewhere in New England just about every day. Even during our little thaw (temperature above freezing here at NECN since Sunday afternoon, about 60 hours now), snow has continued to fall in Vermont, New Hampshire, and Maine. The most snow I have seen on the (non ski area) ground is now 18″ in Walden Vermont, not bad considering where we came from.
The thaw has caused much of the snow to disappear in coastal New England.
This Eric Martin photo from Provincetown Massachusetts shows a fine Lobster Trap Holiday Stack, near the Pilgrim Monument. No snow here. Did you know Pilgrim Monument is the tallest all-granite structure in the U.S.. Do you recognize the architecture? Same as one in Itlay and one in Boston. Gotta love Wikipedia (hopefully these statements are true). See more Wikipedia on Pilgrim Monument here.
So when will we get our first snow on Cape Cod?
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Stormy Sunrise Thurs Dec 3, 2009
Posted by Tim Kelley December 2, 2009 at 6:59 pm
Late sleepers may miss the tropical downpours early Thursday December 3, 2009. But no matter when you get up, the wind will grab your attention, and possibly your hat too. Wind gusting past 50 mph, first from the south or southeast, then from the southwest and west, is causing widespread tree damage with scattered power outages.
Northern New England, hit hardest during last Saturday, will not be quite as windy as coastal areas. Notice the white arrows with the circular center, this is the low pressure center, forecast to be about 988 millibars over VT/NH during the morning. Near the center, we have lighter wind, almost like an eye. Wind will shift from south to west as the center passes from southwest to northeast during the day, sunny breaks are expected by afternoon. This storm had snow in Dallas Texas, tornados in Florida and 5″+ Rainfall in Tallahassee, and will bring record warmth to New England. Read on for records to beat and to see the multiple advisories in effect here.
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Two gorgeous autumn days as we continue to watch potentially damaging Danny carefully…
Posted by Matt Noyes August 27, 2009 at 11:47 am
There are a few issues to contend with today, largely focused on the track of Danny, though we’re expecting a frost for some New Englanders overnight tonight….
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