Day #7 Stormy New England

Posted by Tim Kelley March 1, 2010 (2 weeks ago) at 8:42 pm

Simply amazing that we have a third storm merging with the upper low stalled over the northeast for 7 days now. The storm that tracked south of New Orleans Friday Feb 26, 2010, across southern FL Saturday, merged with our old Super Storm south of Nova Scotia today, Monday March 1, 2010. The resultant wind from the North ramped up to 50+ in gusts creating waves of 10′-20′ funneling to Massachusetts Bay. The combination of a weeks worth of onshore wind, Full Cold Moon High Tide, and wind from the right direction, brought the roughest seas to shores south of Boston since the April 2007 super storm. Here is the weather map for today. Some photos from the shore are posted below.

There is another storm with 3″ of snow in Dallam texas today. That low will bring another round of Gale Force wind to New England Wednesday. But the heavy precip should stay offshore. Believe it or not, Vermont may get the most in the next few days, from a storm passing way off to the south. Go Figure. About as logical as rain in Maine, and Snow on Cape Cod, that we saw today (another warm from the north due to block).
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Raindrops Keep Falling On Our Head…on the Weekend

Posted by Joe Joyce October 24, 2009 at 8:33 am

This image from the CrownOfMaine.com cam from 9 AM shows the fourth snow in nine days here in New England. The snow and ice have changed to rain now, as much warmer winds move in.
Scattered showers with periodic downpours will be in place for most of the day, especially in central and Northern New England. The rainfall will be more spotty in nature south…with spotty light rain and drizzle…with extended periods of dry weather, especially by afternoon. So not all is lost today…but obviously not ideal weather to start the weekend. A warm front is pushing northward today. It will take much of the day to finally push through southern New England, but once it is throughn winds will pick up from the SSE direction and a rise in temperatures will be underway. By late afternoon, highs will be climbing into the mid 60’s in southern New England. It will be a balmy, mild, almost tropical airmass in place through the evening. Northern New England will remain on the cooler and more unsettled side of the front. Periodic downpours through the day expected. Rain will be heavy at times. Northern New England will see upto 2-3 inches of rain before this all ends Sunday Morning.

A cold front will be on the move Saturday night. This will be a strong energized front with plenty of lift in the atmosphere to squeeze out any available tropical moisture. Strong winds aloft may mix down to the surface ahead of this front and may produce damaging winds with gusts over 40+ mph for the Cape and the Islands and Down east Maine tonight. The main bulk of rain will be pushing through as a squall line after 7 PM tonight. The line will be reaching the coast around 10-11 PM. This line of downpours will likley come with torrential rain, gusty winds and embedded thunder. It will all be off the coast by sunrise tomorrow. Generally 1-1.5″ of rain expected in southern New England

Skies will be clearing Sunday with breezy NW winds. Highs will be seasonal in the 50’s and lwr 60’s.
Building high pressure will allow for a dry and pleasant start to the week, before our next chance of showers by Tuesday.
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Cold Cumulus and Mild Weekend Rains

Posted by Joe Joyce October 1, 2009 at 12:17 pm

We are still under the influence of an upper level low pressure system, which is currently over the Canadian border. Counter-clockwise rotation of air around the low is supplying the chill down at the ground, but also up above where it is much colder. The sun has heated the surface already this morning, and the cumulus have begun their vertical ascent. A partly to mostly cloudy appearance to the sky this afternoon with temperatures running below normal mostly in the 50’s. A stray shower or sprinkle can not be ruled out in the NW hills. Skies will be clearing overnight as our upper low starts to pull away and pressure on the rise. Another cool night with lows dipping into the 30’s and 40’s. High pressure on the move for Friday will mean more abundant sunshine. As the high pulls off the coast, winds will shift to the south allowing for slightly warmer temperatures Friday. The cold heavy at the air will not be in a hurry to leave, so the lighter warmer air will override the cooler air forming clouds along a warm front. Showers will develop on this warm front Friday night and push into western New England late.

This weekend we will be tracking an energized slow moving cold front. Saturday will start out showery, cloudy and damp. SSE winds will try to bring in warmer air into the 60’s. Any wind off the water this time of year can make it feel raw, but inland temps will try to get to 70. Showers will transition to pockets of heavy rain by later in the afternoon as a wave of low pressure gathers on the cold front. Tropical moisture will be heading up the coast which could enhance the rainfall. The heavy rains will continue through Saturday Night and Early Sunday morning. In some of these downpours easily 1-3″ of rain could occur if everything comes together. That is the catch! Just how strong and how fast is this front going to be?
If this front is more progressive, we have a shot at lighter amounts of rain and also a improved Sunday forecast to look forward to. If the cold front slows more with this developing wave along it, well…Houston we have a problem. This will mean a heavier rain, localized flooding and rain lingering through the morning on Sunday. Right now, we will play optimistic with the weekend and call for slow improvement Sunday with a damp start and breaking PM clouds. High pressure builds in for the start of next week for a couple days of sunshine before another batch of rain is here by midweek.

Here Comes The Rain Again

Posted by Joe Joyce September 26, 2009 at 6:41 pm

Our beautiful crisp start to the weekend is a forgotten memory. Clouds are here to stay with rain heading into New England for Sunday. After a warmer than normal start to the week, the fall chill returns for the midweek…this time with lots of clouds. Full weather discussion inside! Read more

Clouds are Moving Out…But For How Long?

Posted by Joe Joyce September 12, 2009 at 8:15 am

A Damp and cloudy start to Sunday will give way to increasing afternoon sunshine and a string of pleasant days to start the work week. A developing low is getting it’s act together in the Gulf of Mexico. Will this increased moisture become a player in our weather before the week is through? Full Forecast Discussion Inside! Read more

High pressure keeps the rain at bay, but for how long?

Posted by Danielle Niles September 10, 2009 at 1:08 pm

Another beautiful early “fall-like” day is underway across New England as high pressure remains firmly in control. We thought yesterday that a few raindrops might sneak into CT late in the day, but the high is even stronger than we anticipated, shielding the region from the advancing rain. Expect a fine afternoon with plenty of sun and temperatures in the 60s along the shore, and low 70s inland. But despite the pleasant weather overhead, seas continue to build thanks to the developing coastal storm in the mid Atlantic. A gusty and persistent onshore wind continues to pile water along the east facing beaches, resulting in some pretty sizeable waves. Check out the image above of Coast Guard Beach in Eastham, MA on the National Seashore. Read more

Are You Kidding Me??? Unfortunately, No.

Posted by Joe Joyce June 17, 2009 at 6:54 pm

Clouds are on the increase. Rain is knocking at the door. Thursday will start out dry, but become wet.
Heavy Rain Thursday Night into Friday. Another low affects our weather into the weekend keeping the periodic rain and drizzle going with cool raw conditions. More of the ugly details inside. Enter at your own risk! Read more

Rainy Week In New England- May 4, 2009

Posted by Tim Kelley May 4, 2009 at 7:38 pm

Our Radar shows bands of rain crossing New England from Southwest to Northeast. Green is light rain, yellow is moderate, red is heavy rain with thunder. The front that ended our record heat last week is stalled to our south. Waves of low pressure from the Pacific Ocean are crossing the United States in rapid succession. In addition, The Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic Ocean are inputting plenty of energy. We even have an Extra-Tropical Wave from south of Bermuda turning the corner of the massive Atlantic Ridge, this wave will be absorbed by the conveyor belt of banding rain into the Gulf Of Maine by Wednesday. The timing of each rain band is near impossible. That is why our radar is a great tool. Check back often. Here is an estimate for Rainfall expected into Thursday. We may have to add another one of these maps for more rain Friday and/or Saturday.

There is no one storm to track, but many waves of low pressure, this is why we are unable to pin point exactly where and when the rain is turning off and on. We are not raining all the time, we do have sunny breaks, but we see no 24 hour period where we can take rain out of the forecast for the foreseeable future. With High Pressure in Southern Canada, we are also getting cold wind from the Northeast, with water temperatures near 50°, that will reflect in air temperatures when it rains. Any sunny breaks will get the temperature to jump into the 60s, maybe 70s by Friday and Saturday. Dew points are climbing to the low 50s, so we can add dense fog to the mix too, especially near the shore.

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