Looking into the Crystal Ball as 2010 Approaches
Posted by Joe Joyce December 27, 2009 at 9:58 am
After two Blizzards in a Week from the Mid-Atlantic to the Northern Plains, 2/3rds of the nation experienced a White Christmas. Ho Ho Ho! The pattern of extremes is showing no signs of letting go of it’s grip on the nation. More cold and snow is likely in the coming two weeks as pressures will be rising in the North Atlantic, creating blocking and a wavy pattern to the jetstream which is good for storm development followed by cold blasts of air. Look inside for a full weather discussion if you dare! Read more
Indian Summer in the Northeast..with the Tropics Still Alive!
Posted by Joe Joyce November 7, 2009 at 9:30 am
An early November warming trend is underway! Wonderful late season warmth for the next few days averagin 10 to 15 degrees above normal. A midweek cold front will return temps to more typical November temperatures. Meanwhile, Category 1 Hurricane Ida is entering the Gulf! Full Forecast Discussion Inside. Read more
Raindrops Keep Falling On Our Head…on the Weekend
Posted by Joe Joyce October 24, 2009 at 8:33 am
This image from the CrownOfMaine.com cam from 9 AM shows the fourth snow in nine days here in New England. The snow and ice have changed to rain now, as much warmer winds move in.
Scattered showers with periodic downpours will be in place for most of the day, especially in central and Northern New England. The rainfall will be more spotty in nature south…with spotty light rain and drizzle…with extended periods of dry weather, especially by afternoon. So not all is lost today…but obviously not ideal weather to start the weekend. A warm front is pushing northward today. It will take much of the day to finally push through southern New England, but once it is throughn winds will pick up from the SSE direction and a rise in temperatures will be underway. By late afternoon, highs will be climbing into the mid 60’s in southern New England. It will be a balmy, mild, almost tropical airmass in place through the evening. Northern New England will remain on the cooler and more unsettled side of the front. Periodic downpours through the day expected. Rain will be heavy at times. Northern New England will see upto 2-3 inches of rain before this all ends Sunday Morning.
A cold front will be on the move Saturday night. This will be a strong energized front with plenty of lift in the atmosphere to squeeze out any available tropical moisture. Strong winds aloft may mix down to the surface ahead of this front and may produce damaging winds with gusts over 40+ mph for the Cape and the Islands and Down east Maine tonight. The main bulk of rain will be pushing through as a squall line after 7 PM tonight. The line will be reaching the coast around 10-11 PM. This line of downpours will likley come with torrential rain, gusty winds and embedded thunder. It will all be off the coast by sunrise tomorrow. Generally 1-1.5″ of rain expected in southern New England
Skies will be clearing Sunday with breezy NW winds. Highs will be seasonal in the 50’s and lwr 60’s.
Building high pressure will allow for a dry and pleasant start to the week, before our next chance of showers by Tuesday.
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Weather Lovers Unite! Southern New England Weather
Posted by Joe Joyce October 18, 2009 at 7:47 am
The Southern New England Weather Conference will be held on Saturday October 24th, 2009.
http://www.sneweatherconf.org/
While this conference does have a cost associated with it, it is high value for the money with speakers coming from other parts of the country to give talks at the conference. The registration fee does include breakfast, lunch and snacks. Of note, Julio Ripoll-WD4R, Assistant Amateur Radio Coordinator for the National Hurricane Center Amateur Radio station WX4NHC will be giving a presentation on the 29-year history of their operations at the Hurricane Center and the role they play in National Huricane Center operations and is coming up from Miami Florida. Additional presentations of topics include:
Topics covered:
The July 24, 2008 New Hampshire Tornado (Mish Michaels)
Hurricanes Affecting Atlantic Canada (Peter Boyer, Canadian Hurricane Center)
How Weather Affects Aviation
An Analysis of Waterspout Development in Southern New England
(NWS Forecasters)
Ice Storm 2008 (NWS forecasters, National Grid, US Dept. of
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Cold Cumulus and Mild Weekend Rains
Posted by Joe Joyce October 1, 2009 at 12:17 pm
We are still under the influence of an upper level low pressure system, which is currently over the Canadian border. Counter-clockwise rotation of air around the low is supplying the chill down at the ground, but also up above where it is much colder. The sun has heated the surface already this morning, and the cumulus have begun their vertical ascent. A partly to mostly cloudy appearance to the sky this afternoon with temperatures running below normal mostly in the 50’s. A stray shower or sprinkle can not be ruled out in the NW hills. Skies will be clearing overnight as our upper low starts to pull away and pressure on the rise. Another cool night with lows dipping into the 30’s and 40’s. High pressure on the move for Friday will mean more abundant sunshine. As the high pulls off the coast, winds will shift to the south allowing for slightly warmer temperatures Friday. The cold heavy at the air will not be in a hurry to leave, so the lighter warmer air will override the cooler air forming clouds along a warm front. Showers will develop on this warm front Friday night and push into western New England late.
This weekend we will be tracking an energized slow moving cold front. Saturday will start out showery, cloudy and damp. SSE winds will try to bring in warmer air into the 60’s. Any wind off the water this time of year can make it feel raw, but inland temps will try to get to 70. Showers will transition to pockets of heavy rain by later in the afternoon as a wave of low pressure gathers on the cold front. Tropical moisture will be heading up the coast which could enhance the rainfall. The heavy rains will continue through Saturday Night and Early Sunday morning. In some of these downpours easily 1-3″ of rain could occur if everything comes together. That is the catch! Just how strong and how fast is this front going to be?
If this front is more progressive, we have a shot at lighter amounts of rain and also a improved Sunday forecast to look forward to. If the cold front slows more with this developing wave along it, well…Houston we have a problem. This will mean a heavier rain, localized flooding and rain lingering through the morning on Sunday. Right now, we will play optimistic with the weekend and call for slow improvement Sunday with a damp start and breaking PM clouds. High pressure builds in for the start of next week for a couple days of sunshine before another batch of rain is here by midweek.
Here Comes The Rain Again
Posted by Joe Joyce September 26, 2009 at 6:41 pm
Our beautiful crisp start to the weekend is a forgotten memory. Clouds are here to stay with rain heading into New England for Sunday. After a warmer than normal start to the week, the fall chill returns for the midweek…this time with lots of clouds. Full weather discussion inside! Read more
The “Fall-Feel” Returns
Posted by Joe Joyce September 23, 2009 at 9:00 pm
Above normal temperatures Wednesday are on the way out as we head towards the weekend. In fact, a noticeable chill will be in the air on Friday with highs struggling to climb into the 60’s. The weekend starts off fantastic with sunshine and 60’s, but rain will likely develop by Sunday. Full forecast discussion inside Read more
Clouds are Moving Out…But For How Long?
Posted by Joe Joyce September 12, 2009 at 8:15 am
A Damp and cloudy start to Sunday will give way to increasing afternoon sunshine and a string of pleasant days to start the work week. A developing low is getting it’s act together in the Gulf of Mexico. Will this increased moisture become a player in our weather before the week is through? Full Forecast Discussion Inside! Read more
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