Another Wednesday, Another Stormy Forecast

Posted by Tim Kelley March 2, 2010 (2 weeks ago) at 8:44 pm

11 PM udate
Moderate Snow Norwell MA closing in on a whole inch!
Rain Scituate to Cape Cod at 34 degrees 11 pm Is a Slap In The Face..
This was not even a consideration??
.
8 PM
Wednesday Evening March 3, 2010 Update..
Another bust.. Here is new thinking. The big deal is Coastal Flooding at High Tide around 2 AM. We may have similar flooding to what happened Midday Monday. The snow bands are there, but so far are falling apart as fast as they form. Reports from Cape Cod are 1″-2″, we may see enough for plowing by AM.
Updated map below.
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A Look Ahead to Cooler Times

Posted by Joe Joyce November 28, 2009 at 10:49 am

Plenty of Sunshine with less wind today will make this Sunday the Pick of the weekend. Highs will average above normal climbing into the lwr to mid 50’s in southern New England. Considering we should be in the mid 40’s this time of year, for the end of November we are doing great! Cooler air remains in place across the far north today with a few more clouds and highs only in the 30’s and lwr 40’s. It has been a great run this month. But the writing is on the wall and the inevitable cool down is on the way starting this week.

Monday we will be tracking a cold front across New England. This will come with a few showers mostly west in the morning, with steady showers at the coast for the afternoon. The mild flow ahead of the front will keep temps in the 50’s right at the coast…especially Southeast. Winds will pick up a bit too in the afternoon. The front will be off the coast by Monday night and a seasonably cool airmass will charge in for Tuesday. Highs will only be in the 30’s north and lwr-mid 40’s south, nothing too cool for this time of year….but it will seem very chilly after this very mild month…which has averaged 2-3 degrees above normal. Dry weather will remain in place through Wednesday, with our focus turning to the Gulf.

This next weather maker will be loaded with moisture. This wave of energy, which has origins in the Pacific, will tap Gulf of mexico Moisture and become a strengthening Low as it moves up the East coast and should track right through New England. This will come with some warm, tropical air…so I am expecting mostly rain to develop Wednesday Night into Thursday. Rain will be heavy at times with a few inches of rain possible. It will also be a quick moving system and the jetstream will help to keep this moving along. Behind this low will be cooler dry air to follow as pressure will rise behind this storm and allow a dry and cool 1st weekend of December.

Looking West, Arctic air will be plunging into the US this week and will start to become a major player in our December pattern for the weeks ahead. Winter is knock knock knockin’ on our door! Any winterizing of the home left to do should be done this week if you have been procrastinating in the mild November weather.

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Raindrops Keep Falling On Our Head…on the Weekend

Posted by Joe Joyce October 24, 2009 at 8:33 am

Caribou 2nd snow 3 day Oct 24 09 12 z
This image from the CrownOfMaine.com cam from 9 AM shows the fourth snow in nine days here in New England. The snow and ice have changed to rain now, as much warmer winds move in.
Scattered showers with periodic downpours will be in place for most of the day, especially in central and Northern New England. The rainfall will be more spotty in nature south…with spotty light rain and drizzle…with extended periods of dry weather, especially by afternoon. So not all is lost today…but obviously not ideal weather to start the weekend. A warm front is pushing northward today. It will take much of the day to finally push through southern New England, but once it is throughn winds will pick up from the SSE direction and a rise in temperatures will be underway. By late afternoon, highs will be climbing into the mid 60’s in southern New England. It will be a balmy, mild, almost tropical airmass in place through the evening. Northern New England will remain on the cooler and more unsettled side of the front. Periodic downpours through the day expected. Rain will be heavy at times. Northern New England will see upto 2-3 inches of rain before this all ends Sunday Morning.

A cold front will be on the move Saturday night. This will be a strong energized front with plenty of lift in the atmosphere to squeeze out any available tropical moisture. Strong winds aloft may mix down to the surface ahead of this front and may produce damaging winds with gusts over 40+ mph for the Cape and the Islands and Down east Maine tonight. The main bulk of rain will be pushing through as a squall line after 7 PM tonight. The line will be reaching the coast around 10-11 PM. This line of downpours will likley come with torrential rain, gusty winds and embedded thunder. It will all be off the coast by sunrise tomorrow. Generally 1-1.5″ of rain expected in southern New England

Skies will be clearing Sunday with breezy NW winds. Highs will be seasonal in the 50’s and lwr 60’s.
Building high pressure will allow for a dry and pleasant start to the week, before our next chance of showers by Tuesday.
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Flooding and damage reports coming in across Southern New England.

Posted by Matt Noyes August 29, 2009 at 3:46 pm

Flooding rains…and now damaging wind…are causing problems for New Englanders. The following reports were received from Skywarn Spotter Coordinator Rob Macedo for the National Weather Service in Taunton, MA. As of 4 PM, the highest rainfall total thus far (and still coming down) was 3.98″ in Yarmouth, MA, and the strongest wind gust was 61 mph at Horseshoe Shoals, Nantucket.

Continue reading for more damage reports and rainfall totals.
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Mother’s Day Weekend Weather Discussion

Posted by Joe Joyce May 9, 2009 at 7:49 am

mother

Strong to Severe storms brought heavy rain and damaging winds Late Saturday Afternoon & Evening. This was along a cold front which will change the airmass…just in time for Mother’s Day! More on the weather Inside Read more

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Rainy Week In New England- May 4, 2009

Posted by Tim Kelley May 4, 2009 at 7:38 pm

Our Radar shows bands of rain crossing New England from Southwest to Northeast. Green is light rain, yellow is moderate, red is heavy rain with thunder. The front that ended our record heat last week is stalled to our south. Waves of low pressure from the Pacific Ocean are crossing the United States in rapid succession. In addition, The Gulf of Mexico and the Atlantic Ocean are inputting plenty of energy. We even have an Extra-Tropical Wave from south of Bermuda turning the corner of the massive Atlantic Ridge, this wave will be absorbed by the conveyor belt of banding rain into the Gulf Of Maine by Wednesday. The timing of each rain band is near impossible. That is why our radar is a great tool. Check back often. Here is an estimate for Rainfall expected into Thursday. We may have to add another one of these maps for more rain Friday and/or Saturday.

sfx_tim_storm_totals21

There is no one storm to track, but many waves of low pressure, this is why we are unable to pin point exactly where and when the rain is turning off and on. We are not raining all the time, we do have sunny breaks, but we see no 24 hour period where we can take rain out of the forecast for the foreseeable future. With High Pressure in Southern Canada, we are also getting cold wind from the Northeast, with water temperatures near 50°, that will reflect in air temperatures when it rains. Any sunny breaks will get the temperature to jump into the 60s, maybe 70s by Friday and Saturday. Dew points are climbing to the low 50s, so we can add dense fog to the mix too, especially near the shore.

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Easter Weekend Weather Discussion-Updated

Posted by Joe Joyce April 11, 2009 at 7:50 am

Chilly Easter Egg Hunts

Chilly Easter Egg Hunts

Happy Easter! So nice to see the sun return on this day. But Brrrr! It feels more like March than April! An area of high pressure is sliding out of James Bay . This, in combination with our departing low is allowing winds to pick up out of the NNW and direct cooler and drier air into the region as skies are filled with sunshine. There are more clouds in the Northwest, especially in VT and the Mountains of NH. Drying downsloping winds are helping to keep the coast brighter. Winds will remain active much of the day providing a significant chill to the air. The airmass will provide an unseasonably cool airmass in the 40’s, but winds will make it feel like it is in the 30’s this afternoon. It would be wise to keep a sweater or light coat with you today. Definitely bundle up the kids for any Easter egg hunts or heading to church! Read more

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Another Dry Nor’easter

Posted by Tim Kelley March 24, 2009 at 7:57 pm

For most of New England sunshine and gusty wind did not have much impact on Tuesday March 24, 2009. But along the coast from Maine to Massachusetts we had banding snow showers spiral westward from a 988 millibar storm center due east of Nantucket and south of Newfoundland. The strongest wind gust measured in New England from this storm is 54 mph at Cutler Maine.

cam41

This image of Cape Cod Bay is from 10 AM Tuesday. A dry Nor’easter, occasionally turned snowy.
The next image from the MoreBeach.com cam at Coast Guard Beach in Eastham Massachusetts shows chaotic sea with poor visibility in Moderate Snow at about 1 PM.
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